Navigating Tennessee's Housing Affordability Challenge: A Complex Dance of Supply and Demand (2024)

RUTHERFORD COUNTY, TN - Recent research by the Tennessee Advisory Commission on Intergovernmental Relations (TACIR), titled “Reducing the Burden: Increasing Housing Supply to Lower Housing Costs," confirms that in some cases Tennesseans may be unable to afford to keep their home or unable to buy a home to begin with. In Murfreesboro, the median home listing price is sitting at $455,000, making that new home purchase even more difficult. State Representative Robert Stevens in Rutherford County stated...

Tennessee stands at the forefront of a housing crisis, facing unique challenges shaped by diverse factors across the state. The escalating housing and rental prices in recent years have placed the dream of homeownership beyond the reach of many Tennesseans. The issue manifests differently in various regions, creating a complex landscape of affordability concerns. State Representative Mike Sparks said...

As of 2022, 17.9% of Tennessee homeowners were classified as cost-burdened, paying more than 30% of their incomes towards housing. For renters, the situation is even more dire, with 43.4% classified as cost-burdened. The implications of a lack of affordable housing extend far beyond individual households, impacting the state's workforce, economy, infrastructure, property values, property taxes, and community concerns such as public health and homelessness.

Recognizing the severity of the issue, House Joint Resolution 139, proposed by Representative Sparks in 2023, prompted the Commission to study housing affordability. Initially focused on impact fees, the scope of the study expanded to consider various factors affecting affordability beyond impact fees.

While impact fees are now used in places like Murfreesboro to potentially manage growth-related costs, their effect on housing affordability is limited. The need for infrastructure and services accompanying new developments necessitates funding, typically sourced from impact fees or property taxes.

Debates on financing growth revolve around equity concerns. Some argue that those generating the need for new infrastructure should bear the cost, while others contend that impact fees and related taxes are unfair to those buying new homes. Tennessee law mandates that collected impact fees be spent exclusively on infrastructure needs arising from the respective developments.

Tackling the complexity of the housing issue in Tennessee requires a comprehensive approach and local governments have limited policy tools to address the problem, including impact fees, property taxes, and sales taxes. While impact fees contribute to housing costs, they are only one element in the intricate web of factors determining the total cost of housing.

Representative Sparks highlighted how the cost of education, mainly in the form of new schools, is one of the many facets driving the need upwards for things like impact fees and increased property taxes cost... A Rutherford County Board of Education meeting held earlier this month, confirmed the cost to build the new Batey Elementary School in the Blackman Community, will cost approximately $60-million.

At the same time, the National Association of Home Builders estimated that just under a quarter of a home's cost could be attributed to government regulations. However, this encompassed various regulations, not solely impact fees, and Tennessee-specific data are lacking.

Residential impact fees and development taxes in Tennessee vary by location and are not the largest factors affecting housing affordability. In the current market, these fees, even at a rate of $1 per square foot, represent a minimal percentage of the cost of a median-priced new home. But what can't be overlooked is that when land is scarce and a local school system has to spend spend over $80,000 per acre, the costs go hand-in-hand with the increasing costs of homes.

Existing Homes Locally: In Rutherford County, just 6.3% of homes were constructed on or before 1959, according to data from the TACIR study. Further findings reveal that a significant portion, 26.5%, of all homes in Rutherford County were built between 1960 and 1989. These insights into the construction years of homes suggest that the majority of residences currently occupied by residents were built from 1990 onwards. In fact, a substantial 67.2% of all homes in Rutherford County were constructed on or after 1990.

An intricate dance of supply and demand in the housing market has become increasingly complex, driven by various factors ranging from the pandemic's disruptions to historical shifts in land use policies. The state as a , like many others, grapples with a shortage of homes compared to the rising demand, creating a significant challenge for residents seeking affordable housing. Estimates from housing research groups, including Up For Growth, suggest a substantial need for additional housing units in Tennessee, with numbers doubling from 22,000 in 2019 to 56,000 in 2020.

The rising population, witnessing an increase of over 125,000 people from 2020 to 2022, exacerbates the situation, driving competition and prices upward. A staff analysis by the Commission reveals a direct correlation between per capita income and median home sale prices, emphasizing the impact of financial means on housing affordability. Increasing housing supply at a faster rate than population growth is identified as a potential solution, associated with lower home sale prices. However, the analysis recognizes that this alone may not be sufficient to bring home prices down to universally affordable levels.

In the ongoing policy discussions about housing affordability, the focus often centers on whether to subsidize affordable housing for lower-income individuals or broaden measures to increase housing supply for a wider income range. Research indicates that a dual approach, supporting both subsidized and market-rate housing concurrently, may be the most effective strategy. The state could play a role in assisting local governments by providing tools to increase land availability for housing. The recommendation to authorize all local governments to establish land banks aims to address blight, secure existing affordable housing, and create a more dynamic housing market in Tennessee.

Navigating Tennessee's Housing Affordability Challenge: A Complex Dance of Supply and Demand (2024)

FAQs

What is the affordable housing crisis in Tennessee? ›

As of 2022, 17.9% of Tennessee homeowners were classified as cost-burdened, paying more than 30% of their incomes towards housing. For renters, the situation is even more dire, with 43.4% classified as cost-burdened.

Is Tennessee an affordable state to live in? ›

Average Cost of Living in Tennessee: $42,469 per year

Tennessee is among the most affordable 10 states, at No. 10, according to MERIC data gathered in 2022.

What is the average housing cost in Tennessee? ›

As of March 2023, the average home value in Tennessee is estimated to be around $291,354, according to the Zillow Home Value Index as of March 2023. The average price of rental apartments nationwide is $1,702. The average rent for an apartment in Nashville is $1,787.

What causes a shortage of affordable housing? ›

Land use and zoning policies that exclude affordable housing and create racial, economic, and housing segregation; High costs of living, inadequate wages, and wealth and income inequality; A safety net that does not provide sufficient housing or supportive services.

Why is housing in Tennessee so expensive? ›

High demand and low supply are to blame for skyrocketing prices in Tennessee, Greater Nashville Realtors board member Collyn Wainwright said. Population growth in the state, especially since the COVID-19 pandemic, has created a surge in the demand for housing.

Is it cheaper to live in Florida or Tennessee? ›

In addition to lower mortgage and rent prices, Tennessee residents also enjoy low property taxes and no state income tax. Combine that with lower prices on everyday goods and services and it's easy to see why living in Tennessee is so attractive to newcomers.

What is a livable salary in Tennessee? ›

Living Wage Calculation for Tennessee
1 ADULT2 ADULTS (BOTH WORKING)
0 Children2 Children
Living Wage$20.77$23.53
Poverty Wage$7.24$7.50
Minimum Wage$7.25$7.25

Is Tennessee a good state to retire in financially? ›

Affordability: The Volunteer State has a lower cost of living compared to many other states, and there are a number of affordable retirement communities in Tennessee, making this an attractive destination for retirees on a fixed income. Tennessee also has relatively low taxes in certain areas.

What is the most expensive place to live in Tennessee? ›

Germantown tops list of most expensive cities for Tennessee. Residents of Germantown pay the highest household bills in the state of Tennessee, at an average of $2,843 per month. Germantown residents' bills are 38.9% more, nearly $10,000 more per year, than the U.S. average.

Are house prices dropping in Tennessee? ›

In June 2024, 19.3% of homes in Tennessee sold above list price, down 4.8 points year. There were only 28.7% of homes that had price drops, up from 24.0% of homes in June last year. There was a 98.0% sale-to-list price, down 0.45 points year over year. … Homes that sold above list price likely received multiple offers.

What is the cheapest state to live in in the United States? ›

Cheapest Southern States to Live In

Mississippi: According to World Population Review, in 2023, Mississippi holds the title of the cheapest state to live in the United States. Its cost of living index is 85, and overall costs in the state are 17% lower than the national average.

Why is it so hard to afford a house? ›

Home prices have doubled in the last decade, with much of that growth happening in just the last four years. By one measure, housing affordability has fallen to its lowest level since the 1980s. And high interest rates have exacerbated the problem, ballooning monthly mortgage payments.

How to fix the housing crisis in America? ›

A better policy would be to make housing more affordable for everyone by abolishing urban growth boundaries and other land-use restrictions that have made housing expensive. Meanwhile, help for those who truly can't afford housing should come in the form of rent vouchers, not subsidies that primarily enrich developers.

What is the root cause of the housing shortage? ›

Several factors have together caused constraints on the construction of new housing: density restrictions (e.g. single-family zoning) and high land cost conspire to keep land and housing prices high; community involvement in the permitting process allows current residents who oppose new construction (often referred to ...

What is considered low income in Tennessee? ›

A full-time employee, for example, earning the minimum wage of $7.25/hour in Tennessee (last increase was in 2008) earns $15,080/year - considered very low income if they are a single person household. With dependent(s), their income level is extremely low income.

Is the housing market going down in Tennessee? ›

Tennessee Housing Market Overview

In May 2024, home prices in Tennessee were up 5.4% compared to last year, selling for a median price. On average, the number of homes sold was up 2.7% year over year and there were 9,075 homes sold in May this year, up 8,837 homes sold in May last year.

What is the housing affordability index in Tennessee? ›

Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN Housing Affordability Index is at a current level of 103.40, down from 154.10 one year ago.

Who are most affected by affordable housing? ›

Low-Income Households Are Particularly Affected by Unaffordable Housing. Households with the lowest incomes are by far the most likely to have housing costs that are unaffordable.

References

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